Sunday, March 15, 2009

Projected Winner of NCAA Tournament, as of Sunday, March 15

Gonna go with Louisville, though I am not crazy about anyone in the field this year.

North Carolina has a major injury problem with Ty Lawson's bad foot. UConn really misses guard Jerome Dyson. Pitt is just not that talented, imo. Duke is just a bunch of perimeter shooters. Oklahoma is up and down and relies too much on Blake Griffin. Wake is incredibly talented but has a problem now, imo, by taking the ball out of Jeff Teague's hands.

I pick Louisville because I love Terrance Williams as the senior leader, a great defender and passer, and a charismatic young man capable of handling the chore of leading a team to six wins. Samuels and Clark are lottery picks, potentially, when they come out. The backcourt has several defenders and shooters. The team has a bunch of NBA capable players and very good college players, along with a proven big game coach in Rick Pitino.

One of the downsides to the Ville is winning the Big East tourney: winning three games in three days may take a bit out of them. And they rely on jump shooting, so there is the danger of going cold for a half.

Go with Louisville going to D-town to win six. But don't bet the house.

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